Spain vs Iraq Thursday 04th June 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Spain Iraq

Spain D W D W W W

Iraq L L D D L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Egypt	0 - 0	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Home	Serbia	3 - 0	Win
Nov 18, 25	Home	Türkiye	2 - 2	Draw
Nov 15, 25	Away	Georgia	0 - 4	Win
Oct 14, 25	Home	Bulgaria	4 - 0	Win
Oct 11, 25	Home	Georgia	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 29, 26	Away	Andorra	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 6, 24	Home	South Korea	0 - 1	Loss
Oct 17, 23	Home	Jordan	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 13, 23	Away	Qatar	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 16, 23	Away	Colombia	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 26, 23	Away	Russia	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
70	Spain	2	1	1	0	3	0	+3	4
289	Iraq	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.97% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spain has a 65.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.14 %

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