Spalding United vs Oxford City Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Spalding United Oxford City

Spalding United D L W W W W

Oxford City L L W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Spalding United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Away	South Shields	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Home	Dagenham & Redbridge	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 25	Home	Alfreton Town	3 - 0	Win
Aug 30, 25	Away	Ilkeston Town	1 - 2	Win
Aug 2, 25	Away	King's Lynn Town	0 - 2	Win

Oxford City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Slough Town	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Briton Ferry	4 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Darlington 1883	1 - 3	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Chester	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 14, 26	Away	Hereford	1 - 2	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Oxford City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Spalding United	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.77% likelihood that both Spalding United and Oxford City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Spalding United to win

This prediction indicates that Spalding United has a 48.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.73 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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