Sparta Katowice vs Stal Jasień Saturday 30th May 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Sparta Katowice Stal Jasień

Sparta Katowice W W L W W D

Stal Jasień L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stal Jasień	Sparta Katowice	1 - 4	November 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Polonia Nysa	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Home	SKRA Częstochowa	1 - 0	Win
May 13, 26	Away	Starowice Dolne	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Słowianin	1 - 0	Win
Apr 29, 26	Away	Pawłowice Śląskie	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Lechia Zielona Góra	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Słowianin	0 - 3	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Carina Gubin	3 - 0	Loss
May 13, 26	Home	Warta Gorzów	0 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Górnik Polkowice	3 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Kluczbork	0 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Górnik Zabrze II	3 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Sparta Katowice	32	16	8	8	48	34	+14	56
18	Stal Jasień	33	2	1	30	21	102	-81	7

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction suggests that there is a 63.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Sparta Katowice has a 85.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 11.63 %

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