Spartak Kostroma vs Ural Wednesday 19th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Spartak Kostroma Ural

Spartak Kostroma D D W W L L

Ural W D W L D W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ural	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 1	November 22, 2025
Spartak Kostroma	Ural	1 - 1	September 4, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Tekstilshchik	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Away	PFC Sochi	0 - 2	Win
Jul 12, 26	Home	KAMAZ	3 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 3	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Leningradets	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 19, 26	Home	Enisey	3 - 0	Win
Jul 13, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Spartak Kostroma	4	2	2	0	7	3	+4	8
3	Ural	4	2	1	1	6	1	+5	7

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spartak Kostroma has a 36.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.23 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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