Premier League
Match Analysis
Spartak Moscow
Fakel
Spartak Moscow
D
W
D
W
L
W
Fakel
D
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel | Spartak Moscow | 0 - 0 | May 4, 2025 |
| Spartak Moscow | Fakel | 3 - 0 | August 18, 2024 |
| Spartak Moscow | Fakel | 0 - 2 | March 10, 2024 |
| Fakel | Spartak Moscow | 2 - 0 | October 28, 2023 |
| Spartak Moscow | Fakel | 3 - 2 | March 11, 2023 |
| Fakel | Spartak Moscow | 1 - 2 | October 19, 2022 |
Spartak Moscow Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | FC Orenburg | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Zenit | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Rubin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Baltika | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FC Krasnodar | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | FC Orenburg | 5 - 1 | Win |
Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 26 | Home | FC Krasnodar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Zenit | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | FC Orenburg | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Akhmat | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | CSKA Moscow | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Akhmat | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 12 |
| 16 | Fakel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Spartak Moscow to win
This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 73.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.20 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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