Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva Saturday 25th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Spartak Moscow Rodina Moskva

Spartak Moscow D W W D D W

Rodina Moskva L D W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Rodina Moskva	Spartak Moscow	1 - 5	September 16, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Rubin	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Krylia Sovetov	3 - 2	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	FC Krasnodar	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Makhachkala	0 - 0	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Rubin	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 2, 26	Home	Akron	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Arsenal Tula	1 - 4	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Chelyabinsk	2 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Chernomorets	1 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	FC UFA	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Rodina Moskva	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Spartak Moscow	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.0% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 61.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.29 %

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