Spartak Pleven vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Saturday 11th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Spartak Pleven Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Spartak Pleven W L L L W L

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa L D W L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Spartak Pleven	Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa	2 - 3	January 22, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	0 - 2	Win
Jul 3, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	4 - 0	Loss
Feb 7, 26	Away	Etar Veliko Tarnovo	1 - 2	Win
Feb 5, 26	Away	Sevlievo	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Fratria	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Away	Dunav Ruse	1 - 2	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Away	Yantra 2019	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 28, 26	Away	Cherno More Varna	0 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Spartak Pleven has a 35.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.22 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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