Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Monday 03rd August 2026 09:15 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Spartak Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Spartak Varna D W D L D W

Lokomotiv Plovdiv L W W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	1 - 1	February 21, 2026
Spartak Varna	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 2	August 30, 2025
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	1 - 2	April 7, 2025
Spartak Varna	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1 - 0	October 23, 2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	Spartak Varna	3 - 1	April 28, 2023
Spartak Varna	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0 - 2	October 10, 2022

Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	CSKA 1948	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Home	Dobrudzha	7 - 3	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Nesebar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Botev Plovdiv	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dunav Ruse	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Home	Lokomotiv Sofia	3 - 0	Win

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Ludogorets	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Away	Rilski Sportist	0 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Arda Kardzhali	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ludogorets	0 - 0	Draw
May 25, 26	Home	Botev Plovdiv	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	4 - 0	Loss

First League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Spartak Varna	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win

This prediction indicates that Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a 46.96% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.89 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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