First League
Match Analysis
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
W
W
D
W
D
L
Septemvri Sofia
L
L
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | Spartak Varna | 1 - 0 | May 14, 2026 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Spartak Varna | 0 - 0 | April 16, 2026 |
| Spartak Varna | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 4 | November 7, 2025 |
| Spartak Varna | Septemvri Sofia | 4 - 2 | March 16, 2025 |
| Septemvri Sofia | Spartak Varna | 0 - 1 | September 30, 2024 |
| Spartak Varna | Septemvri Sofia | 1 - 0 | May 31, 2023 |
Spartak Varna Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Cherno More Varna | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Dobrudzha | 7 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Home | Nesebar | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Septemvri Sofia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Levski Sofia | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Ludogorets | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | Hebar 1918 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 2 - 3 | Loss |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spartak Varna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.55% likelihood that both Spartak Varna and Septemvri Sofia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Spartak Varna to win
This prediction indicates that Spartak Varna has a 50.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.79 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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