Spennymoor Town vs Chester Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Spennymoor Town Chester

Spennymoor Town W D L L D L

Chester W L L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Chester	Spennymoor Town	2 - 1	February 28, 2026
Spennymoor Town	Chester	1 - 2	January 20, 2026
Chester	Spennymoor Town	1 - 0	January 21, 2025
Spennymoor Town	Chester	3 - 0	August 10, 2024
Chester	Spennymoor Town	1 - 1	February 24, 2024
Spennymoor Town	Chester	1 - 1	September 2, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	AFC Emley	0 - 4	Win
Sep 12, 26	Home	Macclesfield	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 8, 26	Home	Spalding United	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Hereford	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Hednesford Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Bedford Town	3 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Lower Breck	1 - 2	Win
Sep 12, 26	Away	Buxton	3 - 1	Loss
Sep 8, 26	Home	Merthyr Town	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Hebburn Town	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Home	Morecambe	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Away	Hereford	1 - 1	Draw

This prediction indicates that Chester has a 36.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply