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National League - North

Aug. 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Spennymoor Town Hednesford Town
Spennymoor Town W D W L L D
Hednesford Town L L W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Spennymoor Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Merthyr Town 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Morecambe 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Gateshead 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home FC Halifax Town 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Hartlepool 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Marine 1 - 1 Draw

Hednesford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Scarborough Athletic 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Merthyr Town 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Boston United 2 - 0 Win
Jul 18, 26 Home Solihull Moors 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 30, 25 Away Billericay Town 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 27, 25 Home Billericay Town 0 - 0 Draw

National League - North Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Spennymoor Town 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
23 Hednesford Town 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that both Spennymoor Town and Hednesford Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Spennymoor Town to win
This prediction indicates that Spennymoor Town has a 42.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.51 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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