Spennymoor Town vs Spalding United Tuesday 08th September 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

National League - North

Sept. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spennymoor Town Spalding United

Spennymoor Town L L W D W L

Spalding United L D L W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Away	Scarborough Athletic	3 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Merthyr Town	2 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Morecambe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Gateshead	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	FC Halifax Town	1 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 22, 26	Away	Chester	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 18, 26	Home	Macclesfield	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Oxford City	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Radcliffe	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 2	Draw
Oct 11, 25	Away	South Shields	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Spalding United	3	1	1	1	2	1	+1	4
15	Spennymoor Town	3	1	1	1	3	5	-2	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.66% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spennymoor Town has a 37.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.01 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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