Spezia vs Vis Pesaro Monday 21st September 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone B

Sept. 21, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Spezia Vis Pesaro

Spezia W W D D D D

Vis Pesaro L D L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Away	Sambenedettese	1 - 2	Win
Aug 29, 26	Home	Città di Campobasso	1 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Grosseto	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Away	Empoli	1 - 1	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Pescara	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Venezia	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 5, 26	Home	Ostia Mare	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Home	Perugia	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 22, 26	Away	Pescara	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Modena	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	Cesena	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Home	Benevento	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Spezia	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
19	Vis Pesaro	3	0	1	2	3	6	-3	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spezia has a 58.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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