Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell Sunday 16th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Sporting Gijon Sabadell

Sporting Gijon W L L W W W

Sabadell W D L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sabadell	Sporting Gijon	1 - 1	March 20, 2021
Sporting Gijon	Sabadell	3 - 1	November 25, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Gimnástica Torrelavega	0 - 5	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Celta Vigo	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Marino de Luanco	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Granada CF	1 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Almeria	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Zaragoza	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Manresa	2 - 1	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Espanyol	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Castellón	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Home	Zamora	4 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Zamora	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Home	Real Madrid II	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Sabadell	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Sporting Gijon	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Sporting Gijon has a 52.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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