Sporting JAX vs Indy Eleven Sunday 16th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Sporting JAX Indy Eleven

Sporting JAX L D W L D L

Indy Eleven L L L L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Indy Eleven	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	May 9, 2026

Sporting JAX Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Brooklyn	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Austin	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Loudoun United	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 20, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 5	Loss

Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	San Antonio	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Loudoun United	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Detroit City	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Miami FC	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1 - 0	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Indy Eleven	15	6	3	6	18	17	+1	21
25	Sporting JAX	18	1	5	12	23	46	-23	8

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.03% likelihood that both Sporting JAX and Indy Eleven will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Indy Eleven to win

This prediction indicates that Indy Eleven has a 46.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.03 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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