Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC Thursday 23rd July 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Sporting Kansas City Minnesota United FC

Sporting Kansas City L W W L D L

Minnesota United FC D L L D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sporting Kansas City	Minnesota United FC	0 - 3	February 7, 2026
Minnesota United FC	Sporting Kansas City	3 - 0	October 5, 2025
Sporting Kansas City	Minnesota United FC	3 - 3	March 16, 2025
Sporting Kansas City	Minnesota United FC	0 - 2	September 22, 2024
Minnesota United FC	Sporting Kansas City	3 - 1	June 2, 2024
Minnesota United FC	Sporting Kansas City	2 - 1	April 28, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	New York Red Bulls	1 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Austin	1 - 2	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Los Angeles Galaxy	3 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Portland Timbers	6 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Seattle Sounders	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Away	Chicago Fire	5 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Real Salt Lake	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	New England Revolution	2 - 1	Loss
May 14, 26	Home	Colorado Rapids	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Austin	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Columbus Crew	2 - 3	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Los Angeles FC	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Minnesota United FC	15	6	4	5	18	22	-4	22
29	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14	36	-22	11

This prediction indicates that Minnesota United FC has a 45.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.85 %

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