Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
L
L
W
L
L
W
St. Louis City
D
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| St. Louis City | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 2 - 0 | April 6, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 1 | September 29, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 3 - 3 | April 21, 2024 |
Sporting Kansas City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Houston Dynamo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 2 | Win |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Real Salt Lake | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Colorado Rapids | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | St. Louis City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 14 |
Predictions
St. Louis City to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City has a 47.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.97 %Most Likely Scorelines
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