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Paulista Série B logo

Paulista Série B

July 5, 2026 5 days, 18 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Sporting Paulinense Sao Carlos
Sporting Paulinense W W W L W W
Sao Carlos L D W D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sao Carlos Sporting Paulinense 0 - 1 June 27, 2026

Sporting Paulinense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Away Sao Carlos 0 - 1 Win
Jun 20, 26 Away Guarulhos 1 - 2 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Gremio Osasco Audax 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Home Flamengo SP 0 - 1 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Votoraty 1 - 2 Win
May 24, 26 Home Paulínia FU 1 - 0 Win

Sao Carlos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Sporting Paulinense 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Santacruzense 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Independente SP 2 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Matonense 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Grêmio Catanduvense 8 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Mogi Mirim 3 - 1 Loss

Paulista Série B Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Sporting Paulinense 11 6 0 5 10 16 -6 18
12 Sao Carlos 11 4 3 4 19 12 +7 15

Predictions

Sao Carlos to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sao Carlos has a 39.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.83 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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