Primera C
Match Analysis
Sportivo Barracas
Claypole
Sportivo Barracas
W
L
L
L
W
W
Claypole
L
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Sportivo Barracas has shown moderate form recently, while Claypole is coming off a run of poor results. Despite Claypole's historical dominance in head-to-head matches, the current quality edge and rest advantage favor Sportivo Barracas. The model predicts a home win with a 45% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds imply. The model also sees a lower chance of goals, expecting fewer than 1.5 goals in the match, aligning with the under trend seen in past meetings between these sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claypole | Sportivo Barracas | 1 - 0 | April 12, 2026 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Claypole | 0 - 5 | September 29, 2024 |
| Claypole | Sportivo Barracas | 0 - 2 | April 29, 2024 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Claypole | 0 - 1 | December 5, 2020 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Claypole | 3 - 1 | November 25, 2019 |
| Sportivo Barracas | Claypole | 1 - 1 | September 5, 2015 |
Sportivo Barracas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | El Porvenir | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Lugano | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 13, 26 | Away | Fénix | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Yupanqui | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Lujan | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 15, 26 | Home | General Lamadrid | 2 - 0 | Win |
Claypole Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Juventud Unida | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Lujan | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | General Lamadrid | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 13, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Atletico Atlas | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Canuelas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Sportivo Barracas | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 23 | +2 | 28 |
| 24 | Claypole | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 22 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Sportivo Barracas to win
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Barracas has a 44.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.84 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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