Sportivo Barracas vs El Porvenir Tuesday 28th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Sportivo Barracas El Porvenir

Sportivo Barracas L L L W W L

El Porvenir L D D D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
El Porvenir	Sportivo Barracas	2 - 2	March 30, 2026
El Porvenir	Sportivo Barracas	1 - 0	August 9, 2024
Sportivo Barracas	El Porvenir	0 - 0	March 8, 2024
El Porvenir	Sportivo Barracas	1 - 0	November 20, 2023
Sportivo Barracas	El Porvenir	2 - 1	August 6, 2023
El Porvenir	Sportivo Barracas	2 - 0	April 8, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Lugano	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 13, 26	Away	Fénix	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Home	Yupanqui	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 29, 26	Home	Lujan	2 - 0	Win
Jun 15, 26	Home	General Lamadrid	2 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Leones de Rosario	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Mercedes	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Lujan	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 5, 26	Away	General Lamadrid	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Leones de Rosario	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Atletico Atlas	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Away	Canuelas	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
16	Sportivo Barracas	20	7	4	9	22	21	+1	25
18	El Porvenir	20	4	13	3	15	15	0	25

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Sportivo Barracas has a 43.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.82 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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