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Division Intermedia

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Sportivo Carapeguá Independiente F.b.c.
Sportivo Carapeguá D W L L L D
Independiente F.b.c. L W L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente F.b.c. Sportivo Carapeguá 3 - 3 August 3, 2025
Sportivo Carapeguá Independiente F.b.c. 1 - 1 April 28, 2025
Independiente F.b.c. Sportivo Carapeguá 0 - 1 August 19, 2024
Sportivo Carapeguá Independiente F.b.c. 1 - 0 May 12, 2024
Sportivo Carapeguá Independiente F.b.c. 2 - 0 July 8, 2023
Independiente F.b.c. Sportivo Carapeguá 1 - 1 April 3, 2023

Sportivo Carapeguá Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Tacuary 2 - 2 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Atlético Tembetary 1 - 0 Win
May 21, 26 Away Benjamín Aceval 2 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Away Paraguari AC 1 - 0 Loss
May 8, 26 Home 12 de Junio VH 1 - 3 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Encarnación 2 - 2 Draw

Independiente F.b.c. Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 29, 26 Home 12 de Junio VH 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Encarnación 2 - 3 Win
May 19, 26 Home Deportivo Santani 0 - 2 Loss
May 14, 26 Away Fernando De La Mora 1 - 1 Draw
May 9, 26 Home 3 de Noviembre 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away General Caballero 4 - 2 Loss

Division Intermedia Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Independiente F.b.c. 10 4 3 3 14 13 +1 15
11 Sportivo Carapeguá 10 4 2 4 12 17 -5 14

Predictions

Sportivo Carapeguá to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Carapeguá has a 36.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.97 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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