Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo Saturday 30th May 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Sportivo Italiano Argentino de Merlo

Sportivo Italiano L W D D W D

Argentino de Merlo L L D L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Argentino de Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 1	July 13, 2025
Sportivo Italiano	Argentino de Merlo	0 - 0	February 23, 2025
Argentino de Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	5 - 1	September 29, 2024
Sportivo Italiano	Argentino de Merlo	1 - 1	May 11, 2024
Argentino de Merlo	Sportivo Italiano	1 - 2	August 7, 2022
Sportivo Italiano	Argentino de Merlo	0 - 0	April 4, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 27, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	1 - 2	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Talleres Remedios	0 - 1	Win
May 18, 26	Home	Deportivo Laferrere	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Brown DE Adrogue	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Deportivo Armenio	1 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Flandria	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	Deportivo Armenio	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	San Martín Burzaco	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Villa San Carlos	0 - 0	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Liniers	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Real Pilar	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	UAI Urquiza	0 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Sportivo Italiano	17	8	6	3	18	13	+5	30
16	Argentino de Merlo	17	5	4	8	10	15	-5	19

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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