Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Sportivo Italiano
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
W
D
D
W
W
W
Defensores Unidos
L
L
D
D
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | 2 - 0 | April 14, 2026 |
| Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | 2 - 2 | March 5, 2018 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Defensores Unidos | 2 - 1 | September 29, 2017 |
| Defensores Unidos | Sportivo Italiano | 3 - 1 | April 28, 2017 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Defensores Unidos | 2 - 0 | October 17, 2016 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Defensores Unidos | 1 - 0 | May 17, 2014 |
Sportivo Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Deportivo Merlo | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Camioneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Ituzaingó | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | San Martín Burzaco | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Villa San Carlos | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Liniers | 0 - 1 | Win |
Defensores Unidos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Liniers | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Real Pilar | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | UAI Urquiza | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Villa Dalmine | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Excursionistas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 22 | +10 | 49 |
| 21 | Defensores Unidos | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sportivo Italiano to win
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Italiano has a 59.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.52 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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