Primera B Metropolitana
Match Analysis
Sportivo Italiano
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
W
L
L
W
D
D
Excursionistas
W
W
D
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Italiano | Excursionistas | 2 - 1 | August 2, 2025 |
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | 2 - 0 | March 15, 2025 |
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 1 | July 10, 2024 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Excursionistas | 0 - 3 | February 20, 2024 |
| Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano | 1 - 1 | July 4, 2023 |
| Sportivo Italiano | Excursionistas | 0 - 0 | February 26, 2023 |
Sportivo Italiano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Arsenal Sarandi | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Argentino de Merlo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 27, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Talleres Remedios | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Home | Deportivo Laferrere | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Away | Brown DE Adrogue | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Excursionistas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | San Martín Burzaco | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Villa San Carlos | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 27, 26 | Away | Argentino Quilmes | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Liniers | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | Real Pilar | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 8, 26 | Home | UAI Urquiza | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera B Metropolitana Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 38 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | +5 | 33 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Sportivo Italiano will score 0 goals, and Excursionistas will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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