Springvale vs Malvern Friday 14th August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Springvale Malvern

Springvale L L W W D D

Malvern W W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Malvern	Springvale	4 - 1	May 2, 2026

Springvale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Goulburn Valley Suns	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Nunawading	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Moreland City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Keilor Park	5 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Eastern Lions	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	Altona City	2 - 2	Draw

Malvern Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Nunawading	1 - 4	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Moreland City	5 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Keilor Park	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Altona City	0 - 2	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Essendon Royals SC	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 5, 26	Away	Whittlesea United	1 - 0	Loss

Victoria Premier League 2 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Malvern	21	15	1	5	51	24	+27	46
8	Springvale	21	7	5	9	25	37	-12	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.07% likelihood that both Springvale and Malvern will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Malvern to win

This prediction indicates that Malvern has a 61.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.04 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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