Springvale vs Nunawading Friday 17th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Springvale Nunawading

Springvale W W D D L L

Nunawading L L W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nunawading	Springvale	1 - 1	April 11, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Moreland City	0 - 1	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Keilor Park	5 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Eastern Lions	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Home	Altona City	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Away	Essendon Royals SC	8 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Whittlesea United	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Goulburn Valley Suns	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Kingston City	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	Keilor Park	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Eastern Lions	2 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	Altona City	0 - 0	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Essendon Royals SC	5 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	Springvale	19	6	5	8	24	35	-11	23
10	Nunawading	18	6	4	8	18	29	-11	22

This prediction indicates that Springvale has a 44.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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