Sri Lanka vs Djibouti Saturday 03rd October 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Sri Lanka Djibouti

Sri Lanka W D L W W L

Djibouti W L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Bhutan	4 - 1	Win
Sep 9, 25	Home	Maldives	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 6, 25	Home	Maldives	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 5, 25	Home	Brunei	1 - 0	Win
Mar 20, 25	Away	Laos	1 - 2	Win
Nov 19, 24	Home	Yemen	0 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 29, 26	Away	South Sudan	0 - 1	Win
Mar 26, 26	Home	South Sudan	0 - 4	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Away	Morocco B	7 - 0	Loss
Nov 15, 25	Away	Morocco B	6 - 0	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Sierra Leone	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 8, 25	Home	Egypt	0 - 3	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.97% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Sri Lanka has a 60.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.32 %

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