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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

SS Monopoli Crotone
SS Monopoli L W L L L D
Crotone D L L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
SS Monopoli Crotone 1 - 1 March 1, 2026
Crotone SS Monopoli 0 - 1 October 18, 2025
Crotone SS Monopoli 2 - 0 February 23, 2025
SS Monopoli Crotone 1 - 1 October 12, 2024
Crotone SS Monopoli 3 - 1 April 21, 2024
SS Monopoli Crotone 0 - 3 December 17, 2023

SS Monopoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Potenza 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 29, 26 Home Catania 2 - 0 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Team Altamura 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away Lecce 1 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Casarano 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Potenza 2 - 2 Draw

Crotone Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Barletta 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Away Sorrento 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 24, 26 Home Foggia 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Casertana 1 - 1 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home Latina 2 - 5 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 SS Monopoli 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
18 Crotone 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
SS Monopoli to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that SS Monopoli has a 39.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.51 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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