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Match Analysis

St. Louis City II Austin II
St. Louis City II W D D W D W
Austin II W L W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
St. Louis City II Austin II 0 - 2 June 28, 2026
Austin II St. Louis City II 4 - 1 May 18, 2026
Austin II St. Louis City II 1 - 2 September 20, 2025
Austin II St. Louis City II 2 - 4 July 12, 2025
St. Louis City II Austin II 0 - 0 March 30, 2025
St. Louis City II Austin II 3 - 2 September 2, 2024

St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 6, 26 Away Swope Park Rangers 1 - 2 Win
Aug 29, 26 Home North Texas 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Home Houston Dynamo FC II 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 17, 26 Away San Jose Earthquakes II 0 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 26 Away Colorado Rapids II 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 2, 26 Home Real Monarchs 3 - 0 Win

Austin II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 4, 26 Away Houston Dynamo FC II 0 - 2 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Portland Timbers II 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 24, 26 Home San Jose Earthquakes II 1 - 0 Win
Aug 20, 26 Away North Texas 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Whitecaps II 4 - 1 Win
Aug 10, 26 Home Swope Park Rangers 1 - 0 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Austin II 26 17 6 3 51 21 +30 57
17 St. Louis City II 25 9 9 7 39 36 +3 36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.46% likelihood that both St. Louis City II and Austin II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
St. Louis City II or Austin II to win
This prediction indicates that Austin II has a 39.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.82 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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