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MLS Next Pro

May 31, 2026
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

St. Louis City II North Texas
St. Louis City II D L L D W W
North Texas D W W L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency β€” only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline β€” only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance β€” only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances β€” only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability β€” the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
North Texas St. Louis City II 1 - 3 August 17, 2025
St. Louis City II North Texas 2 - 0 June 5, 2025
North Texas St. Louis City II 0 - 3 March 10, 2025
North Texas St. Louis City II 0 - 0 November 3, 2024
St. Louis City II North Texas 4 - 0 August 25, 2024
North Texas St. Louis City II 2 - 1 July 28, 2024

St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Away Los Angeles II 1 - 1 Draw
May 18, 26 Away Austin II 4 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Houston Dynamo FC II 1 - 4 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Minnesota United II 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Home LA Galaxy II 2 - 1 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Tacoma Defiance 1 - 2 Win

North Texas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 24, 26 Home San Jose Earthquakes II 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Swope Park Rangers 5 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Minnesota United II 0 - 2 Win
May 3, 26 Home Austin II 0 - 2 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Minnesota United II 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Portland Timbers II 2 - 2 Draw

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 St. Louis City II 12 6 4 2 23 17 +6 22
17 North Texas 12 4 4 4 22 17 +5 16

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.95% likelihood that both St. Louis City II and North Texas will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! βœ…

St. Louis City II to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City II has a 60.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.23 %

Correct Prediction! βœ…

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 81.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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