MLS Next Pro
Match Analysis
St. Louis City II
Real Monarchs
St. Louis City II
L
L
L
L
L
D
Real Monarchs
W
D
L
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | St. Louis City II | 1 - 3 | July 7, 2025 |
| St. Louis City II | Real Monarchs | 2 - 0 | April 20, 2024 |
| St. Louis City II | Real Monarchs | 4 - 0 | August 6, 2023 |
| Real Monarchs | St. Louis City II | 1 - 4 | June 19, 2023 |
| St. Louis City II | Real Monarchs | 2 - 0 | June 26, 2022 |
| Real Monarchs | St. Louis City II | 0 - 2 | April 30, 2022 |
St. Louis City II Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Houston Dynamo FC II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | North Texas | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Austin II | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Minnesota United II | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Real Monarchs Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Whitecaps II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Away | Los Angeles II | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 28, 26 | Away | LA Galaxy II | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 22, 26 | Away | Tacoma Defiance | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Portland Timbers II | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 8, 26 | Away | San Jose Earthquakes II | 3 - 0 | Loss |
MLS Next Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | St. Louis City II | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 21 | Real Monarchs | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.83% likelihood that both St. Louis City II and Real Monarchs will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.St. Louis City II to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City II has a 45.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.34 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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