Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
W
D
W
W
L
L
Sporting Kansas City
L
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | Sporting Kansas City | 2 - 2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 2 - 0 | April 6, 2025 |
| St. Louis City | Sporting Kansas City | 3 - 1 | September 29, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 3 - 3 | April 21, 2024 |
| Sporting Kansas City | St. Louis City | 2 - 1 | November 5, 2023 |
St. Louis City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 26 | Home | Austin | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 16, 26 | Away | DC United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Los Angeles FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Colorado Rapids | 0 - 1 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Austin | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 - 3 | Loss |
Sporting Kansas City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Austin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 14, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Portland Timbers | 6 - 0 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Home | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Chicago Fire | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | St. Louis City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
| 29 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.93% likelihood that both St. Louis City and Sporting Kansas City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.St. Louis City to win
This prediction indicates that St. Louis City has a 43.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.04 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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