CONCACAF Nations League
Match Analysis
St. Lucia
Guadeloupe
St. Lucia
L
L
L
W
W
W
Guadeloupe
L
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guadeloupe | St. Lucia | 2 - 0 | October 15, 2023 |
| St. Lucia | Guadeloupe | 2 - 1 | October 13, 2023 |
St. Lucia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 24 | Away | Curaçao | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 15, 24 | Home | Grenada | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Oct 14, 24 | Home | Saint Martin | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Oct 12, 24 | Away | Saint Martin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 10, 24 | Away | Grenada | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 6, 24 | Home | Curaçao | 2 - 1 | Win |
Guadeloupe Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 25 | Home | Guatemala | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 25 | Away | Jamaica | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 16, 25 | Away | Panama | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Nov 19, 24 | Home | Cayman Islands | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 15, 24 | Away | Cayman Islands | 0 - 6 | Win |
| Oct 16, 24 | Away | Martinique | 0 - 0 | Draw |
CONCACAF Nations League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Guadeloupe | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | St. Lucia | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.1% likelihood that both St. Lucia and Guadeloupe will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Guadeloupe to win
This prediction indicates that Guadeloupe has a 44.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.96 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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