ST Mirren vs East Kilbride Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

ST Mirren East Kilbride

ST Mirren W W D D W L

East Kilbride W W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
East Kilbride	ST Mirren	0 - 0	July 20, 2019

ST Mirren Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Arbroath	2 - 4	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Partick	1 - 0	Win
May 21, 26	Away	Partick	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Draw
May 12, 26	Away	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Loss

East Kilbride Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Kelty Hearts	4 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Clyde	5 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Dumbarton	0 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	4 - 0	Win
Apr 11, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 4, 26	Home	Annan Athletic	2 - 1	Win

League Cup Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	East Kilbride	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	ST Mirren	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.77% likelihood that both ST Mirren and East Kilbride will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

ST Mirren to win

This prediction indicates that ST Mirren has a 67.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.17 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 83.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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