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1. Division logo

1. Division

June 14, 2026 2 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Stabaek Egersund
Stabaek D W D L W W
Egersund L L D L L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Stabaek Egersund 1 - 1 March 13, 2026
Egersund Stabaek 1 - 1 September 13, 2025
Stabaek Egersund 1 - 3 June 18, 2025
Egersund Stabaek 2 - 1 September 25, 2024
Stabaek Egersund 4 - 5 May 27, 2024

Stabaek Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away Moss 2 - 2 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Kongsvinger 2 - 0 Win
May 20, 26 Away Sogndal 2 - 2 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Raufoss 1 - 2 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Sandnes ULF 0 - 1 Win
May 1, 26 Away Lyn 0 - 4 Win

Egersund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Stromsgodset 0 - 5 Loss
May 25, 26 Away hodd 3 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Lyn 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Away Sandnes ULF 4 - 2 Loss
May 11, 26 Home ODD Ballklubb 0 - 1 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Raufoss 2 - 1 Win

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
5 Stabaek 10 5 3 2 22 12 +10 18
9 Egersund 10 4 1 5 13 16 -3 13

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.2% likelihood that both Stabaek and Egersund will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Stabaek to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Stabaek has a 39.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.88 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.47% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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