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1. Division

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Stabaek Sogndal
Stabaek L L W W W W
Sogndal L L D W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sogndal Stabaek 2 - 2 May 20, 2026
Stabaek Sogndal 1 - 0 March 6, 2026
Stabaek Sogndal 1 - 2 August 18, 2025
Sogndal Stabaek 1 - 1 July 26, 2025
Stabaek Sogndal 1 - 1 March 8, 2025
Stabaek Sogndal 2 - 0 September 28, 2024

Stabaek Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Home Moss 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away hodd 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Home Ranheim 4 - 2 Win
Aug 16, 26 Away Egersund 0 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Lyn 4 - 3 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Raufoss 0 - 2 Win

Sogndal Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 5, 26 Away Haugesund 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Home Stromsgodset 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 26, 26 Away Moss 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Sandnes ULF 2 - 0 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home Bryne 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away Lyn 3 - 2 Loss

1. Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Stabaek 20 13 3 4 53 23 +30 42
12 Sogndal 20 6 4 10 36 48 -12 22

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.86% likelihood that both Stabaek and Sogndal will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Stabaek to win
This prediction indicates that Stabaek has a 70.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 14.74 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 70.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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