Challenge League
Match Analysis
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Étoile Carouge
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
W
D
W
W
W
L
Étoile Carouge
L
D
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 1 | April 10, 2026 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | 0 - 1 | February 28, 2026 |
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 2 | December 19, 2025 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | 2 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Étoile Carouge | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1 - 2 | May 2, 2025 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Étoile Carouge | 1 - 0 | January 31, 2025 |
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Rapperswil | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | FC Aarau | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Stade Nyonnais | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Servette II | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | FC Zurich | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 8, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Étoile Carouge Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | FC Aarau | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | BSC Young Boys | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Servette FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Lausanne | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Challenge League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Étoile Carouge | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
Predictions
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win
This prediction indicates that Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has a 50.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.56 %Most Likely Scorelines
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