III Liga - Group 3
Match Analysis
Stal Brzeg
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Stal Brzeg
L
L
L
W
L
D
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
W
L
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model sees a clear quality gap favoring Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, which suggests they should have the upper hand despite Stal Brzeg's historical dominance in head-to-head matches. Considering Stal Brzeg's poor recent form and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra's moderate form, the model predicts an away win with a 49% probability. The prediction also leans towards both teams scoring and a total of over 1.5 goals, but expects fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, reflecting a balance between the teams' current form and their past encounters.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Stal Brzeg | 1 - 0 | April 18, 2025 |
| Stal Brzeg | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 0 - 1 | September 22, 2024 |
| Stal Brzeg | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 3 - 1 | May 28, 2022 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | Stal Brzeg | 0 - 1 | October 23, 2021 |
Stal Brzeg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Warta Gorzów | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Miedź Legnica II | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Kluczbork | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Rakow II | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | SKRA Częstochowa | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Sparta Katowice | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Stilon Gorzów | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Zagłębie Lubin II | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Górnik Polkowice | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Barycz Sułów | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Carina Gubin | 1 - 1 | Draw |
III Liga - Group 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 12 |
| 16 | Stal Brzeg | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 5 |
Predictions
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win
This prediction indicates that Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has a 48.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.83 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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