Stal Brzeg vs Sparta Katowice Friday 14th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Stal Brzeg Sparta Katowice

Stal Brzeg W W W L L D

Sparta Katowice W W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Home	Polonia Nysa	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Starowice Dolne	2 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	ROW Rybnik	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 25	Home	Pawłowice Śląskie	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 25	Away	Ślęza Wrocław	4 - 0	Loss
May 25, 25	Away	Odra Bytom Odrzański	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Widzew II	0 - 5	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Havířov	4 - 2	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Frýdek-Místek	2 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Away	Tychy 71	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Stal Jasień	3 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Polonia Nysa	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Sparta Katowice	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stal Brzeg	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Sparta Katowice has a 58.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.14 %

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