Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic Saturday 11th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Stenhousemuir Forfar Athletic

Stenhousemuir L W D D W W

Forfar Athletic D L L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Forfar Athletic	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	March 16, 2024
Stenhousemuir	Forfar Athletic	2 - 1	January 6, 2024
Forfar Athletic	Stenhousemuir	1 - 3	November 4, 2023
Stenhousemuir	Forfar Athletic	0 - 0	August 5, 2023
Stenhousemuir	Forfar Athletic	1 - 1	March 25, 2023
Forfar Athletic	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	February 11, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Montrose	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Hamilton Academical	2 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Home	Hamilton Academical	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Annan Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Edinburgh City	4 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Stranraer	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Forfar Athletic	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stenhousemuir	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Stenhousemuir has a 38.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.77 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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