Stenhousemuir vs Morton Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Stenhousemuir Morton

Stenhousemuir D W W L W D

Morton L L L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stenhousemuir	Morton	4 - 0	January 17, 2026
Morton	Stenhousemuir	3 - 0	July 15, 2025
Stenhousemuir	Morton	0 - 1	June 28, 2022
Morton	Stenhousemuir	2 - 0	July 21, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Brechin	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	ST Johnstone	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	East Fife	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Linlithgow Rose	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Stranraer	0 - 0	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Airdrie United	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Ross County	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Morton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stenhousemuir	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.44% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Stenhousemuir has a 59.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.26 %

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