Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Stenhousemuir Motherwell

Stenhousemuir D D W W L W

Motherwell W W L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Stenhousemuir	Motherwell	0 - 1	July 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Livingston	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 21, 26	Away	Partick	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Away	Brechin	1 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	HB	0 - 3	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	HB	2 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Genk	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Aarhus	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Hibernian	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Celtic	2 - 3	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Motherwell has a 61.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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