League Cup
Match Analysis
Stenhousemuir
Motherwell
Stenhousemuir
W
D
D
D
W
W
Motherwell
W
D
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Stenhousemuir have shown moderate form recently, while Motherwell are coming in with strong recent performances. The model predicts a 68% chance that Motherwell will win, which is notably higher than what the current market odds suggest. The significant quality gap favoring Motherwell, combined with their recent creation of more shooting chances, supports this prediction. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of both teams scoring and of there being more than one or two goals in the match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir | Motherwell | 0 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
Stenhousemuir Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Morton | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Raith Rovers | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Livingston | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Partick | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Brechin | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Forfar Athletic | 2 - 0 | Win |
Motherwell Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Home | HJK helsinki | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Falkirk | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 6, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | HB | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | HB | 2 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.34% likelihood that both Stenhousemuir and Motherwell will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Motherwell to win
This prediction indicates that Motherwell has a 68.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.08 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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