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Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo

Division 2 - Norra Götaland

June 12, 2026 2 weeks, 3 days ago
0 – 4
Full Time

Match Analysis

Stenungsund Ahlafors
Stenungsund W L W D L W
Ahlafors D L W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ahlafors Stenungsund 1 - 1 August 16, 2024
Stenungsund Ahlafors 0 - 0 April 20, 2024
Ahlafors Stenungsund 3 - 2 October 1, 2022
Stenungsund Ahlafors 1 - 2 June 17, 2022
Stenungsund Ahlafors 1 - 2 August 25, 2021
Ahlafors Stenungsund 4 - 4 June 24, 2021

Stenungsund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 4, 26 Home Vänersborgs IF 5 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Husqvarna 3 - 1 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Lidköping 6 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Home Motala 1 - 1 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Herrestads 4 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home IF Karlstad II 2 - 0 Win

Ahlafors Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Kumla 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Tord 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Away IF Karlstad II 1 - 4 Win
May 13, 26 Home Herrestads 5 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Grebbestad 0 - 2 Win
May 1, 26 Home IFK Skövde 2 - 3 Loss

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Ahlafors 11 4 3 4 23 17 +6 15
7 Stenungsund 11 4 3 4 20 15 +5 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.37% likelihood that both Stenungsund and Ahlafors will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Ahlafors to win
This prediction indicates that Ahlafors has a 42.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.30 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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