Stenungsund vs Kumla Saturday 15th August 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Stenungsund Kumla

Stenungsund D L L L W L

Kumla L L W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kumla	Stenungsund	1 - 1	April 18, 2026
Stenungsund	Kumla	1 - 1	September 21, 2024
Kumla	Stenungsund	4 - 1	June 1, 2024
Stenungsund	Kumla	1 - 1	June 26, 2022
Kumla	Stenungsund	1 - 0	April 3, 2022
Stenungsund	Kumla	3 - 1	November 28, 2021

Stenungsund Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Home	Skara	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Trollhättan	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Utsikten	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vänersborgs IF	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	Vänersborgs FK	2 - 4	Win
Jun 12, 26	Home	Ahlafors	0 - 4	Loss

Kumla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Tord	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 24, 26	Away	Grebbestad	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Tord	1 - 0	Win
Jun 11, 26	Away	Motala	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Home	Ahlafors	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Herrestads	1 - 2	Loss

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Stenungsund	14	5	3	6	24	22	+2	18
8	Kumla	14	4	5	5	15	16	-1	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.17% likelihood that both Stenungsund and Kumla will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Stenungsund or Kumla to win

This prediction indicates that Kumla has a 38.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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