League One
Match Analysis
Stevenage
Oxford United
Stevenage
W
W
W
L
D
L
Oxford United
L
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | Stevenage | 1 - 1 | April 19, 2024 |
| Stevenage | Oxford United | 1 - 3 | September 30, 2023 |
| Oxford United | Stevenage | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2021 |
| Stevenage | Oxford United | 2 - 6 | August 29, 2017 |
| Oxford United | Stevenage | 1 - 1 | March 25, 2016 |
| Stevenage | Oxford United | 1 - 5 | October 31, 2015 |
Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Wycombe | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Colchester | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Millwall | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | West Ham | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | FC Andorra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Stockport County | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Oxford United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Ipswich | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Crawley Town | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Barnet | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Aldershot Town | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Millwall | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Home | Sheffield Wednesday | 4 - 1 | Win |
League One Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Oxford United | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Stevenage | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Stevenage to win
This prediction indicates that Stevenage has a 45.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.40 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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