Stoke City vs Swansea Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Stoke City Swansea

Stoke City W W D L L L

Swansea L W L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Swansea	Stoke City	2 - 0	March 7, 2026
Stoke City	Swansea	2 - 1	December 13, 2025
Stoke City	Swansea	3 - 1	February 15, 2025
Swansea	Stoke City	0 - 0	October 5, 2024
Swansea	Stoke City	3 - 0	April 10, 2024
Stoke City	Swansea	1 - 1	December 12, 2023

Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Everton	1 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Chester	0 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Crewe	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Home	SC Braga	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Bristol City	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Portsmouth	1 - 3	Loss

Swansea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Merthyr Town	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Udinese	2 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	VfL Bochum	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Holstein Kiel	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Charlton	3 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Norwich	1 - 1	Draw

Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Swansea	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stoke City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Stoke City to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Stoke City has a 40.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.59 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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