Stranraer vs Edinburgh City Tuesday 21st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Stranraer Edinburgh City

Stranraer D W D W D L

Edinburgh City D L D L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Edinburgh City	Stranraer	4 - 1	March 7, 2026
Stranraer	Edinburgh City	1 - 1	January 3, 2026
Edinburgh City	Stranraer	1 - 3	October 18, 2025
Stranraer	Edinburgh City	1 - 2	August 9, 2025
Edinburgh City	Stranraer	0 - 0	July 19, 2025
Stranraer	Edinburgh City	2 - 0	April 19, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Morton	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Dundela	4 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	Larne	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Elgin City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Stirling Albion	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Forfar Athletic	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Home	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 30, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	3 - 3	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Brora Rangers	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Brora Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Dumbarton	5 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Edinburgh City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Stranraer	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Stranraer has a 62.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.66 %

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