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1st League - FBiH

Aug. 23, 2026 1 day, 11 hours ago
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Match Analysis

Stupčanica Olovo Čapljina
Stupčanica Olovo D W L L D D
Čapljina D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Both Stupčanica Olovo and Čapljina are in poor recent form, making this a closely matched contest overall. However, Stupčanica Olovo benefit from a notable rest advantage, which may give them an edge. The model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, and this view isn't contradicted by available market odds, which aren't detailed enough to show a clear divergence. The model also sees a 48% chance that neither side will score.

Stupčanica Olovo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Radnik Hadžići 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Away Igman Konjic 1 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home Bratstvo Gračanica 0 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Budućnost Banovići 2 - 1 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Sloboda Tuzla 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Away Tomislav 1 - 1 Draw

Čapljina Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Home Jedinstvo Bihać 2 - 2 Draw

1st League - FBiH Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 Čapljina 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
13 Stupčanica Olovo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.74% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Stupčanica Olovo to win
This prediction indicates that Stupčanica Olovo has a 42.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.66 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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