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UEFA Europa League

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Sunderland AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland W L W W W L
AZ Alkmaar W W W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Sunderland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Fulham 1 - 0 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Ipswich 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Rennes 2 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Lens 0 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Wrexham 0 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Leeds 0 - 1 Loss

AZ Alkmaar Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home GO Ahead Eagles 5 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Utrecht 1 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home ADO Den Haag 2 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Olympiakos Piraeus 3 - 2 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Genk 4 - 0 Win

Predictions

Sunderland to win
This prediction indicates that Sunderland has a 42.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.57 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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