Sunderland vs Leeds Friday 31st July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Sunderland Leeds

Sunderland W W D D L L

Leeds L W D W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Leeds	Sunderland	0 - 1	March 3, 2026
Sunderland	Leeds	1 - 1	December 28, 2025
Leeds	Sunderland	2 - 1	February 17, 2025
Sunderland	Leeds	2 - 2	October 4, 2024
Leeds	Sunderland	0 - 0	April 9, 2024
Sunderland	Leeds	1 - 0	December 12, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Chelsea	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Everton	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Manchester United	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Wolves	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	0 - 5	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Aston Villa	4 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	West Ham	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Brighton	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Tottenham	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Burnley	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Chelsea	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 22, 26	Away	Bournemouth	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Leeds	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Sunderland	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Leeds has a 41.52% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.60 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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